Lillestromvs
Valerenga
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lillestrom 2-0 Valerenga
Original prediction
Lillestrom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 48.3% | 52.9% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 24.0% | 20.6% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.6% | 26.4% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20