Lillestromvs
Torreense
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lillestrom 1-2 Torreense
Original prediction
Lillestrom
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 06:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 58.5% | 44.6% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 22.7% | 27.2% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 5.07 | 18.7% | 28.1% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40