Lillestromvs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 5/3/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lillestrom are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sarpsborg 08 FF are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lillestrom hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Eliteserien, while Lillestrom holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20