GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 5/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lillestrom · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Lillestrom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sandefjord are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lillestrom hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.7% in the Eliteserien, while Lillestrom holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lillestrom

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

17.7%

Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LillestromLWLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
SandefjordWWLDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LillestromSandefjord
45.8Attack27.1
58.3Defence54.2
52.1Form31.3
52.6Power40.2
1.42xG0.60
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