Lillestromvs
Sandefjord
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 5/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lillestrom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sandefjord are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lillestrom hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.7% in the Eliteserien, while Lillestrom holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
17.7%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60