GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lillestrom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lillestrom are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fredrikstad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lillestrom hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (69.8 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lillestrom holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lillestrom

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LillestromWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FredrikstadLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LillestromFredrikstad
81.0Attack44.4
52.4Defence66.7
71.4Form50.0
69.8Power54.9
1.67xG1.18
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