Lillestromvs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lillestrom 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Original prediction
Lillestrom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 64.5% | 42.9% | -21.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.36 | 21.4% | 26.3% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 6.64 | 14.1% | 30.8% | 16.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00