Lillestromvs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lillestrom are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Egnatia Rrogozhinë hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lillestrom holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
12.0%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80