GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lillestrom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lillestrom are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Egnatia Rrogozhinë hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lillestrom holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lillestrom

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

12.0%

Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LillestromLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Egnatia RrogozhinëWLDDW

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LillestromEgnatia Rrogozhinë
50.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power57.3
1.61xG1.48
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