Lillestromvs
Brann
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lillestrom 3-2 Brann
Original prediction
Lillestrom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 41.1% | 39.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.8% | 26.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 34.2% | 33.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80