Lillestrøm U19vs
Tromsø U19
COMPLETEDNorway · Nasjonal U19 Champions League · 8/26/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrøm U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 5-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lillestrøm U19 4-1 Tromsø U19
Original prediction
Lillestrøm U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 63.3% | 65.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 18.3% | 15.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 18.3% | 18.9% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.5–27%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Lillestrøm U19
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Lillestrøm U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40