Lillestrøm U19vs
Rosenborg U19
COMPLETEDNorway · Nasjonal U19 Champions League · 10/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrøm U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lillestrøm U19 1-0 Rosenborg U19
Original prediction
Lillestrøm U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 06:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.9% | 44.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.8% | 18.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.3% | 37.6% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Lillestrøm U19
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Lillestrøm U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80