Lillestrøm IIvs
Fløya
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fløya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-4 (7%), 2-4 (7%), 3-5 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lillestrøm II 0-2 Fløya
Original prediction
Fløya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.46 | 20.2% | 25.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.95 | 18.2% | 16.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 61.6% | 58.1% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–47%
- 2.2–47%
- 3.3–56%
Predicted outcome
Fløya
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Fløya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 17 · avg 2.60/3.40
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00