Lillehammervs
Sandefjord II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillehammer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 4-2 (7%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lillehammer 5-0 Sandefjord II
Original prediction
Lillehammer
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 80.1% | 75.0% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 7.47 | 12.0% | 12.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 11.37 | 7.9% | 12.8% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–18%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
Lillehammer
Probability
75.0%
Model confidence
75.0%
Lillehammer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60