Lillehammervs
Oppsal
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillehammer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lillehammer 4-2 Oppsal
Original prediction
Lillehammer
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 82.5% | 70.7% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 8.50 | 10.7% | 14.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 13.45 | 6.8% | 14.6% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Lillehammer
Probability
70.7%
Model confidence
70.7%
Lillehammer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 9 · avg 3.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40