Lillevs
SC Freiburg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lille are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20