Lillevs
Real Betis
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 9/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lille · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lille 2-3 Real Betis
Original prediction
Lille
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 43.2% | 45.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.8% | 27.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 29.0% | 27.5% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Lille
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Lille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LilleWDWDD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real BetisWLWWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LilleReal Betis
59.5Attack50.0
59.5Defence50.0
57.1Form50.0
59.3Power50.0
1.97xG1.09