LillevsFK Crvena Zvezda

Lille are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FK Crvena Zvezda are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.