Lillevs
Dinamo Zagreb
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/27/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lille · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lille are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dinamo Zagreb are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lille hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lille holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lille
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Lille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40