Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lille are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Brann are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.5 against 49.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00