Lillevs
Aston Villa
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/12/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Lille are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Aston Villa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 79.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60