Lille U19vs
Galatasaray U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lille U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lille U19 3-1 Galatasaray U19
Original prediction
Lille U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.9% | 49.5% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.9% | 24.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.25 | 21.3% | 26.0% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Lille U19
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Lille U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20