Lilla Torgvs
Räppe
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lilla Torg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lilla Torg 3-1 Räppe
Original prediction
Lilla Torg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.2% | 49.9% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.7% | 24.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 30.1% | 26.1% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Lilla Torg
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Lilla Torg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00