Lilla Torgvs
Linero
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lilla Torg 2-2 Linero
Original prediction
Linero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.5% | 35.0% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 22.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.1% | 42.6% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Linero
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Linero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20