Liègevs
Patro Eisden
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 10/25/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liège · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liège 2-3 Patro Eisden
Original prediction
Liège
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.2% | 39.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.1% | 24.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.8% | 36.7% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Liège
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Liège has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LiègeLLDWL
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Patro EisdenLWWLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LiègePatro Eisden
52.4Attack38.1
14.3Defence42.9
23.8Form28.6
33.2Power39.6
1.79xG1.66