Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dender · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Liège are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dender are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWDW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dender hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Challenger Pro League, while Dender holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dender
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Dender has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.25