Liègevs
Club Brugge II
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liège · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liège 4-4 Club Brugge II
Original prediction
Liège
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.2% | 37.6% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.4% | 26.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.5% | 35.9% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Liège
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Liège has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LiègeDLWLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Club Brugge IILWWDW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LiègeClub Brugge II
41.7Attack55.6
50.0Defence55.6
33.3Form66.7
44.6Power62.6
1.31xG1.45