GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Women · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Liechtenstein W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Liechtenstein W 3-0 Gibraltar W

Original prediction

Liechtenstein W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4163.5%44.3%-19.2 pts
Draw4.7818.7%26.2%7.5 pts
Away5.0217.8%29.5%11.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-19.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Liechtenstein W

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Liechtenstein W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Liechtenstein WLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 28 · avg 0.40/5.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Gibraltar WLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 26 · avg 0.20/5.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Liechtenstein WGibraltar W
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.74xG1.49
View match centre →