Liechtensteinvs
Gibraltar
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/5/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gibraltar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Liechtenstein 0-2 Gibraltar
Original prediction
Gibraltar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 30.7% | 25.7% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 33.0% | 27.4% | -5.6 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.3% | 47.0% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Gibraltar
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Gibraltar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40