Lidköpingvs
Vänersborgs IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lidköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lidköping 5-2 Vänersborgs IF
Original prediction
Lidköping
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.8% | 59.7% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.1% | 20.5% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 21.0% | 19.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Lidköping
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
Lidköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60