Lidköpingvs
Vänersborgs FK
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lidköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lidköping 1-0 Vänersborgs FK
Original prediction
Lidköping
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.5% | 39.0% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.0% | 26.6% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.5% | 34.3% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Lidköping
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Lidköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20