Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lidköping 1-1 Skara
Original prediction
Skara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.57 | 19.8% | 10.5% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.6% | 15.2% | -7.4 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.6% | 74.3% | 16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Skara
Probability
74.3%
Model confidence
74.3%
Skara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LidköpingDDLDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SkaraWLWDW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LidköpingSkara
35.2Attack66.7
31.5Defence63.0
25.9Form74.1
33.7Power69.1
0.76xG2.82