Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kumla · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lidköping are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kumla are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kumla hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (32.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, while Kumla holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kumla
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
14.0%
Kumla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40