Lidköpingvs
Herrestads
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Herrestads · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lidköping 2-1 Herrestads
Original prediction
Herrestads
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.2% | 23.0% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.8% | 20.0% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.0% | 57.0% | 17.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Herrestads
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Herrestads has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20