Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Lidingö are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Skiljebo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (38.6 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely result in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, favouring Skiljebo with 11.0% confidence, a 54% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
75.8%
Model confidence
11.0%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20