Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (11%), 0-2 (11%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lidingö 1-2 Skiljebo
Original prediction
Skiljebo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.47 | 20.3% | 10.0% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.1% | 14.3% | -8.8 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.7% | 75.7% | 19.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–311%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
75.7%
Model confidence
75.7%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LidingöLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SkiljeboDWWWW
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LidingöSkiljebo
35.1Attack78.9
36.8Defence61.4
24.6Form71.9
35.0Power71.0
0.80xG3.13