Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Franke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lidingö 0-2 Franke
Original prediction
Franke
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 54.0% | 30.3% | -23.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 22.4% | 19.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 23.6% | 50.5% | 27.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 3.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
27.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Franke
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Franke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LidingöWLLWW
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
FrankeWWWLL
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LidingöFranke
38.7Attack60.0
32.0Defence42.7
30.7Form45.3
36.0Power49.7
1.41xG2.38