Lidingövs
Bollstanäs
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · 10/3/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bollstanäs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lidingö 0-4 Bollstanäs
Original prediction
Bollstanäs
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.9% | 32.3% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.2% | 22.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.9% | 44.8% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Bollstanäs
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Bollstanäs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20