Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lida · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lida are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Orsha are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lida hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the 1. Division, while Lida holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lida
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Lida has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/2.50
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/3.67