Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lida 3-2 Niva
Original prediction
Niva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LidaLWWWL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
NivaWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LidaNiva
61.1Attack75.9
48.1Defence63.0
61.1Form66.7
58.8Power67.4
1.44xG2.23