Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lida · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lida are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Bumprom are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lida hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the 1. Division, while Lida holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lida
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Lida has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75