GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · 8/19/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lichtenberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Lichtenberg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tasmania Berlin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lichtenberg hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (82.4 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.2% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord, while Lichtenberg holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lichtenberg

Probability

81.2%

Model confidence

81.2%

Lichtenberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LichtenbergLWLWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tasmania BerlinWDLWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LichtenbergTasmania Berlin
100.0Attack55.2
77.0Defence47.1
81.6Form42.5
82.4Power48.2
3.42xG0.83
View match centre →