GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · 7/30/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lichtenberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Lichtenberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Makkabi are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 4.50 scored and 4.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lichtenberg hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (82.4 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.6% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord, while Lichtenberg holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lichtenberg

Probability

78.6%

Model confidence

78.6%

Lichtenberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LichtenbergLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MakkabiWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 4.50/4.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
LichtenbergMakkabi
100.0Attack51.7
77.0Defence51.7
81.6Form48.3
82.4Power51.9
3.08xG0.79
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