GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Matlock Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lichfield City are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Matlock Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Matlock Town hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 63.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the FA Trophy, while Matlock Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Matlock Town

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

12.6%

Matlock Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lichfield CityLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Matlock TownWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Lichfield CityMatlock Town
33.3Attack44.4
33.3Defence77.8
0.0Form66.7
23.7Power63.1
1.28xG1.63
View match centre →