Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tre Penne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Libertas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tre Penne are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tre Penne hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Coppa Titano, while Tre Penne holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tre Penne
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Tre Penne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80