Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Murata · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Libertas are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Murata are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Murata hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (35.8 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.0% in the Campionato, while Murata holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Murata
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
72.0%
Murata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 5.00/0.00