Libertasvs
Juvenes / Dogana
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Coppa Titano · 10/25/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Libertas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Libertas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Juvenes / Dogana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertas hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Coppa Titano, while Libertas holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Libertas
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Libertas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00