Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Folgore · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Libertas 1-2 Folgore
Original prediction
Folgore
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Folgore
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Folgore has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LibertasWDLLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FolgoreWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LibertasFolgore
40.0Attack100.0
60.0Defence86.7
53.3Form100.0
54.1Power93.4
0.98xG1.80