Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vaca Díez · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Libertad are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Vaca Díez have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaca Díez hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Primera División, while Vaca Díez holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vaca Díez
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Vaca Díez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00