Libertadvs
Guayaquil City FC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 4/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Libertad are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Guayaquil City FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.4% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
26.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20