GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/4/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Libertad are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Deportivo Cuenca are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLDW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LibertadL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Deportivo CuencaWLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
LibertadDeportivo Cuenca
36.1Attack30.6
62.5Defence58.3
45.8Form43.1
50.3Power46.7
0.97xG0.62
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