GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Libertad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Barcelona SC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Barcelona SC hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.4% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

28.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LibertadLWLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Barcelona SCDWWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LibertadBarcelona SC
36.1Attack33.3
62.5Defence73.3
45.8Form48.0
50.3Power53.6
0.61xG0.69
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