Libertad Asuncionvs
Universidad Catolica
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/17/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Libertad Asuncion are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.8 against 60.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40