Libertad Asuncionvs
Sportivo Luqueno
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/23/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Libertad Asuncion · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Libertad Asuncion 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno
Original prediction
Libertad Asuncion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.6% | 67.0% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.4% | 19.4% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 5.71 | 16.0% | 13.6% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Libertad Asuncion
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
Libertad Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00